Buffalo
W-L: (17-14) PR = 95.3513Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A So Miss SB (20-16, 95.3) 85-79 1107 A Green Bay HL (18-15, 95.3) 83-76 1111 A DePaul BE (16-16, 96.7) 66-53 1115 A RIT 80-64 1118 A Vermont AE (22-12, 94.8) 94-90 1124 A VMI SO ( 6-26, 93.1) 78-70 1126 A Bucknell PAT (10-23, 93.8) 73-71 1129 A Canisius MAAC (10-21, 93.9) 71-53 1206 H St. Bonnies A10 (17-17, 95.8) 69-77 1209 A UMBC AE (24- 9, 94.9) 83-79 1214 H Ea Carolina AME (12-19, 95.1) 70-73 1220 A We Michigan MA (10-21, 94.6) 88-71 1222 A PSUBE 92-63 1231 A No Illinois MA ( 9-21, 94.2) 81-67 103 A Ball St MA (12-19, 94.3) 85-72 110 H Ohio MA (15-17, 95.2) 80-91 113 H Kent State MA (24-10, 96.2) 81-87 120 H Akron MA (29- 6, 96.9) 63-82 123 H Mass MA (17-16, 95.5) 67-68 127 A Bowling Grn MA (17-15, 95.5) 89-78 131 H Ohio MA (15-17, 95.2) 83-95 203 H Miami (OH) MA (30- 4, 97.4) 71-73 207 H So Alabama SB U (21-12, 95.7) 69-81 211 A Ball St MA (12-19, 94.3) 63-53 217 H No Illinois MA ( 9-21, 94.2) 70-72 221 A Mass MA (17-16, 95.5) 86-82 224 H Akron MA (29- 6, 96.9) 85-99 228 H Ce Michigan MA (10-21, 94.5) 70-75 303 A Ea Michigan MA (10-21, 94.7) 72-67 306 H Toledo MA (19-15, 95.7) 78-98 312 H Akron MA (29- 6, 96.9) 70-73
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A So Miss 85-79 6 0 + 2.00
1107 A Green Bay 83-76 7 0 1.99
1111 A DePaul 66-53 13 -1 + 3.32
1118 A Vermont 94-90 4 1 1.44
1124 A VMI 78-70 8 2 0.00
1126 A Bucknell 73-71 2 2 0.43
1129 A Canisius 71-53 18 1 0.61
1206 H St. Bonnies 69-77 -8 0 -1.59
1209 A UMBC 83-79 4 0 1.56
1214 H Ea Carolina 70-73 -3 0 - -2.30
1220 A We Michigan 88-71 17 1 1.27
1231 A No Illinois 81-67 14 1 0.83
103 A Ball St 85-72 13 1 0.99
110 H Ohio 80-91 -11 0 - -2.12
113 H Kent State 81-87 -6 -1 -1.12
120 H Akron 63-82 -19 -2 -0.49
123 H Mass 67-68 -1 0 -0.88
127 A Bowling Grn 89-78 11 0 + 2.12
131 H Ohio 83-95 -12 0 - -2.12
203 H Miami (OH) 71-73 -2 -2 0.00
207 H So Alabama 69-81 -12 0 -1.70
211 A Ball St 63-53 10 1 0.99
217 H No Illinois 70-72 -2 1 - -3.19
221 A Mass 86-82 4 0 + 2.14
224 H Akron 85-99 -14 -2 -0.49
228 H Ce Michigan 70-75 -5 1 - -2.88
303 A Ea Michigan 72-67 5 1 1.34
306 H Toledo 78-98 -20 0 -1.67
312 H Akron 70-73 -3 -2 -0.49
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1214 H Ea Carolina 70-73 -3 0 - -2.30 110 H Ohio 80-91 -11 0 - -2.12 131 H Ohio 83-95 -12 0 - -2.12 217 H No Illinois 70-72 -2 1 - -3.19 228 H Ce Michigan 70-75 -5 1 - -2.88 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1103 A So Miss 85-79 6 0 + 2.00 1111 A DePaul 66-53 13 -1 + 3.32 127 A Bowling Grn 89-78 11 0 + 2.12 221 A Mass 86-82 4 0 + 2.14 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A So Miss (20-16, 95.3) 85-79 -4.56 2.92 0.01 1.14 6.67
3 A Green Bay (18-15, 95.3) 83-76 -4.57 2.91 0.01 1.14 6.65
3 A DePaul (16-16, 96.7) 66-53 -3.24 4.24 0.01 1.14 9.66
3 A Vermont (22-12, 94.8) 94-90 -5.12 2.36 0.01 1.14 5.39
3 A VMI ( 6-26, 93.1) 78-70 -6.82 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 A Bucknell (10-23, 93.8) 73-71 -6.13 1.34 0.01 1.14 3.08
3 A Canisius (10-21, 93.9) 71-53 -5.95 1.53 0.01 1.14 3.50
3 H St. Bonnies (17-17, 95.8) 69-77 -4.13 3.35 -0.01 1.14 -2.35
3 A UMBC (24- 9, 94.9) 83-79 -5.00 2.47 0.01 1.14 5.65
3 H Ea Carolina (12-19, 95.1) 70-73 -4.84 2.63 -0.01 1.14 -2.76
3 A We Michigan (10-21, 94.6) 88-71 -5.29 2.19 0.01 1.14 5.00
3 A No Illinois ( 9-21, 94.2) 81-67 -5.73 1.75 0.01 1.14 4.00
3 A Ball St (12-19, 94.3) 85-72 -5.57 1.90 0.01 1.14 4.36
3 H Ohio (15-17, 95.2) 80-91 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.14 -2.66
3 H Kent State (24-10, 96.2) 81-87 -3.66 3.81 -0.01 1.14 -2.09
3 H Akron (29- 6, 96.9) 63-82 -3.03 4.45 -0.01 1.14 -1.73
3 H Mass (17-16, 95.5) 67-68 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.14 -2.52
3 A Bowling Grn (17-15, 95.5) 89-78 -4.44 3.03 0.01 1.14 6.93
3 H Ohio (15-17, 95.2) 83-95 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.14 -2.66
3 H Miami (OH) (30- 4, 97.4) 71-73 -2.50 4.97 -0.01 1.14 -1.43
3 H So Alabama (21-12, 95.7) 69-81 -4.24 3.23 -0.01 1.14 -2.42
3 A Ball St (12-19, 94.3) 63-53 -5.57 1.90 0.01 1.14 4.36
3 H No Illinois ( 9-21, 94.2) 70-72 -5.73 1.75 -0.01 1.14 -3.27
3 A Mass (17-16, 95.5) 86-82 -4.42 3.06 0.01 1.14 6.99
3 H Akron (29- 6, 96.9) 85-99 -3.03 4.45 -0.01 1.14 -1.73
3 H Ce Michigan (10-21, 94.5) 70-75 -5.42 2.06 -0.01 1.14 -3.09
3 A Ea Michigan (10-21, 94.7) 72-67 -5.21 2.26 0.01 1.14 5.17
3 H Toledo (19-15, 95.7) 78-98 -4.20 3.27 -0.01 1.14 -2.40
3 H Akron (29- 6, 96.9) 70-73 -3.03 4.45 -0.01 1.14 -1.73
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46.87
|
winning pts = 79.7088 losing points = -32.8375
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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